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Mavericks vs Rockets odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, March 11 prediction from proven computer model

Mavericks vs Rockets odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, March 11 prediction from proven computer model

The Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks are scheduled to face off in a Southwest Division game at 8 p.m. ET Friday at Toyota Center. The Rockets are 17-49 overall and 10-21 at home, while Dallas is 40-26 overall and 17-14 on the road. The Mavs have won the previous two meetings this season by double digits although the teams split the ATS games.

Dallas is favored by 10.5 points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Rockets vs. Mavericks odds, and the over-under is set at 225.5. Before we get into the Mavericks vs Rockets picks, you’ll want to see the model’s NBA predictions on SportsLine.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has earned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 74-47 turnover on all top-rated NBA picks, grossing nearly $2,100. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Rockets vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Rockets:

  • Spread Rockets vs. Mavericks: Rockets +10.5
  • Rockets vs. Mavericks over-under: 225.5 points

Featured Game | Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks

What you need to know about the Rockets

It may have taken overtime to finish the job, but Houston finally got the result it was hoping for on Wednesday with a 139-130 win over the Los Angeles Lakers. Among those leading the charge for Houston was shooting guard Jalen Green, who had 32 points. He was one of seven different Rockets in double digits, with 139 points being the second-highest for Houston this season.

But you can’t ignore the 130 points the Rockets gave up in that game and the defensive end has been their kryptonite all season. The team ranks last in the NBA in points allowed (118.1), defensive efficiency (116.6) and FG percentage allowed (48.3%). Houston is 12-14 when allowing under 114 points in a game, but only 5-35 when allowing over 114 points. Christian Wood (illness), Dennis Schroder (ankle) and Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) are all questionable for Friday.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Meanwhile, the night started off rough for Dallas on Wednesday, and it ended that way too. The Mavs found themselves the reluctant recipients of an unfortunate 107-77 gut punch against the New York Knicks. Dallas was in a tough spot at halftime, with the score already 61-34. Point guard Jalen Brunson had a pretty forgettable game, finishing with just eight points on 3 shooting for 12 in 25 minutes on the field.

It was the second fewest points Dallas had scored all season, and the team fell to 0-10 while scoring under 95 points. Dallas’ strength this year is on the defensive end, with the team ranking just 26th in points per game (106.7) and 22nd in 3P percentage (34.3). Brunson (thigh) and Dorian Finney-Smith (arm) are questionable for tonight’s game.

How to make Mavericks vs Rockets picks

The model has simulated Rockets vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model leans on, and it also indicates that one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the pick on SportsLine.

So who wins the Mavs against the Rockets? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that crushed his NBA picks.